Ignoring Data

“Inexperienced people die because they reject wisdom. Stupid people are destroyed by their own lack of concern.” (Proverbs 1:32 GNT)

Researchers know that more data points increase the accuracy of their conclusions. There may always be a few outliers, but careful analysis of data usually reveals patterns. Ignoring trends in data just because they don’t fit your original hypothesis is not only wrong, but it’s also just plain dumb.

When trying to read people and situations, most of us have access to a certain amount of data. For example, if your car has not handled well in snow in the past, you can predict that it is likely to do the same in the future. Unless, of course, you have made some significant modification--like snow chains on your tires to increase traction. Even then, you would have to drive the car in the snow a few times before you have new data that would change your perspective. Similarly, if we have known someone for several years, we have several prior experiences that we can use to predict their motives and behavior. People reveal who they are through their actions more than their words. Pay attention and look for patterns. Are they likely to be honest, consistent, dependable, and kind? Or are they self-serving, manipulative, deceitful, unstable, and irrational? We all want to believe that people can change, especially if they are our friends and family. Thus, we often ignore what we don’t want to see.  Some people do turn over a new leaf. However, it is unwise to believe that a person or situation is going to be different until we have enough data points to make that assessment. Do not be naive and disregard evidence, even when it is unpleasant. Keep your eyes, ears, and every sense open. Listen to your instincts. Do not be influenced by those who merely claim to have honorable intentions. Trust must be earned through a succession of congruent behavior that reveals integrity.